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First modification: 09/02/2026 - 17:06

After a month of apparent calm, Iran and the United States once again exchange attacks and tension threatens to escalate again in the Middle East. Six months after the start of a war that Donald Trump promised to end in a matter of weeks, the conflict remains without a clear solution. Tehran maintains a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and warns of new retaliation, while Washington maintains economic pressure and threatens more military action. Is diplomacy over or is there still room for an agreement? We analyzed it on France 24.

The new exchange of attacks once again calls into question the possibility of containing a confrontation that, far from reaching the outcome announced by Washington, threatens to be prolonged. American military and economic pressure does not seem to have succeeded so far in forcing an Iranian capitulation, while Tehran uses the Strait of Hormuz - one of the main routes for global oil transportation - as one of its main tools of pressure.

Read alsoLive: Iran accuses the US of “war crime” after an attack that killed five people at a wedding and warns of new retaliation

Whether diplomacy was caught in a stalemate is a question that becomes relevant given the risk of both countries returning to an open phase of hostilities. Do Washington and Tehran have room to avoid a new escalation? Is the US economic pressure strategy really working? And, as attacks resume, how far will the impact be on energy markets and the global price of oil?

We analyze it in El Debate, together with Taleb Alisalem, graduate in International Relations and Cooperation from the Open University of London, specialist in the Middle East, writer and political analyst, and Fernando Wilson, international analyst and professor at the Adolfo Ibáñez University of Chile.

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